Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders
All Miami Dolphins predictions · All Las Vegas Raiders predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 4:25 PM · Final: 13-27
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Dolphins | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +138 | -165 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -159 |
| DraftKings | +142 | -170 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 |
| FanDuel | +138 | -164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -165 |
| Caesars | +139 | -164 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 -110 | −3 -108 |
| BetRivers | +3 -108 | −3 -113 |
| DraftKings | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +3 -105 | −3 -115 |
| Fanatics | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3 -108 | −3 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3 -105 | −3 -115 |
| Caesars | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 40 -118 | 40 -110 |
| BetRivers | 40.5 -107 | 40.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 40.5 +100 | 40.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 40 -110 | 40 -110 |
| FanDuel | 40.5 -105 | 40.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 40 -115 | 40 -105 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -106 | 40.5 -114 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Dolphins | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.3% | 60.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.