Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
All Denver Broncos predictions · All Kansas City Chiefs predictions
NFL · Monday, September 14, 2026 · 8:16 PM · Final: 10-31
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Denver Broncos | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +106 | -129 |
| DraftKings | +110 | -130 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -135 |
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -135 |
| Caesars | +113 | -133 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | +2 -110 | −2 -110 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 -112 | −2.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -105 | −1.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -118 | −2.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2 -110 | −2 -110 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -115 | −2.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 42.5 -112 | 42.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 43 -107 | 43 -114 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 42.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 42.5 -112 | 42.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43 -110 | 43 -110 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -112 | 42.5 -108 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Denver Broncos | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.5% | 55.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.