Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
All Jacksonville Jaguars predictions · All Denver Broncos predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 4:05 PM · Final: 13-20
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Jacksonville Jaguars | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +125 | -152 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 |
| ESPN BET | +120 | -140 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +120 | -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -140 |
| Caesars | +123 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Jaguars | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -106 | −2.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 45.5 -108 | 45.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 45 -110 | 45 -110 |
| DraftKings | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -109 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Jacksonville Jaguars | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 44.4% | 58.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.