New York Jets at Detroit Lions
All New York Jets predictions · All Detroit Lions predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 24-31
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Jets | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 |
| BetRivers | +250 | -315 |
| DraftKings | +260 | -325 |
| ESPN BET | +240 | -290 |
| Fanatics | +260 | -330 |
| FanDuel | +270 | -330 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +260 | -350 |
| Caesars | +250 | -320 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Jets | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +7 -110 | −7 +100 |
| BetRivers | +7 -120 | −7 -103 |
| DraftKings | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +7 -115 | −7 -105 |
| Fanatics | +7 -115 | −7 -105 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 +100 | −6.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| Caesars | +6.5 -104 | −6.5 -117 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 49 -110 | 49 -110 |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 48.5 -120 | 48.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 49 -115 | 49 -105 |
| Caesars | 49.5 -105 | 49.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Jets | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 27.0% | 74.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 26.8% | 73.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.