Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
All Kansas City Chiefs predictions · All Miami Dolphins predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 24-10
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Chiefs | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -550 | +425 |
| BetRivers | -715 | +500 |
| DraftKings | -600 | +440 |
| ESPN BET | -700 | +450 |
| Fanatics | -600 | +430 |
| FanDuel | -620 | +460 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -700 | +450 |
| Caesars | -590 | +425 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Chiefs | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −9.5 -105 | +9.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −9.5 -115 | +9.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | −10 -108 | +10 -112 |
| ESPN BET | −9.5 -110 | +9.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −9.5 -115 | +9.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −9.5 -120 | +9.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −9.5 -115 | +9.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −9.5 -115 | +9.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 45 -113 | 45 -108 |
| DraftKings | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 45.5 +100 | 45.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 45 -110 | 45 -110 |
| FanDuel | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45 -113 | 45 -107 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Chiefs | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 82.5% | 17.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 84.6% | 16.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 84.5% | 15.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.