Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
All Las Vegas Raiders predictions · All New Orleans Saints predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 4:25 PM · Final: 35-27
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Las Vegas Raiders | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -186 |
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +158 | -188 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -185 |
| Caesars | +158 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Raiders | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3.5 -112 | −3.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -118 | −3.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | +3.5 -112 | −3.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -118 | −3.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -117 | −3.5 -104 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 44 -105 | 44 -112 |
| BetRivers | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 43.5 -118 | 43.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -108 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Las Vegas Raiders | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 37.7% | 64.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.