Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

All Tennessee Titans predictions · All Cincinnati Bengals predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Model confidence 84.8%
Books consensus 84.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Tennessee TitansCincinnati Bengals
BetMGM +525 -700
BetRivers +460 -670
DraftKings +470 -650
ESPN BET +550 -900
Fanatics +550 -800
FanDuel +570 -820
Hard Rock Bet +525 -800
Novig +614 -641
Caesars +500 -750

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bengals −12.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Bengals −10.5
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book TitansBengals
BetMGM +12 -108 −12 -110
BetRivers +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
DraftKings +12.5 -112 −12.5 -108
ESPN BET +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
Fanatics +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
FanDuel +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
Caesars +12.5 -113 −12.5 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 46.5 -110 46.5 -108
BetRivers 46.5 -108 46.5 -113
DraftKings 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
ESPN BET 46.5 -105 46.5 -115
Fanatics 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
FanDuel 46.5 -115 46.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 47 -105 47 -115
Caesars 46.5 -110 46.5 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Tennessee TitansCincinnati Bengals
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 15.2% 84.8%
Best book price incl. vig 14.0% 86.5%
Kalshi contract price 13.5% 86.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record