Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

All Dallas Cowboys predictions · All Indianapolis Colts predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
Dallas Cowboys to win
Model confidence 67.0%
Books consensus 67.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Dallas CowboysIndianapolis Colts
BetRivers -215 +170
DraftKings -230 +190
FanDuel -240 +198
Novig -245 +203
Caesars -230 +191

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Cowboys −4.5
priced 49.8% to cover · 4 books
opened Cowboys −3
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 1 on another number
opened 50.5
Spread by book CowboysColts
BetRivers −4.5 -109 +4.5 -112
DraftKings −4.5 -110 +4.5 -110
FanDuel −4.5 -110 +4.5 -110
Caesars −4.5 -107 +4.5 -113
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
DraftKings 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
FanDuel 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Caesars 51.5 -109 51.5 -112
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record