Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

All Detroit Lions predictions · All Miami Dolphins predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
Detroit Lions to win
Model confidence 78.6%
Books consensus 78.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Detroit LionsMiami Dolphins
BetRivers -480 +350
DraftKings -410 +320
FanDuel -450 +350
Novig -426 +355
Caesars -420 +325

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Lions −7
priced 51.2% to cover · 2 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.1% over · 4 books
Spread by book LionsDolphins
BetRivers −7.5 -114 +7.5 -107
DraftKings −7 -115 +7 -105
FanDuel −8.5 -102 +8.5 -120
Caesars −7 -117 +7 -104
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 48.5 -112 48.5 -109
DraftKings 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
FanDuel 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Caesars 48.5 -110 48.5 -109
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