New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
All New York Jets predictions · All Kansas City Chiefs predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Model confidence 80.7%
Books consensus 80.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | New York Jets | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +405 | -560 |
| DraftKings | +380 | -500 |
| FanDuel | +400 | -520 |
| Novig | +400 | -525 |
| Caesars | +380 | -500 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Chiefs −9.5
priced 49.6% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 43.5
priced 49.6% over · 3 books, 1 on another number
| Spread by book | Jets | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +9.5 -112 | −9.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +9.5 -110 | −9.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +9.5 -112 | −9.5 -108 |
| Caesars | +9.5 -112 | −9.5 -108 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 43.5 -108 | 43.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -108 | 43.5 -112 |
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