Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
All Miami Dolphins predictions · All Indianapolis Colts predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Indianapolis Colts to win
Model confidence 53.4%
Books consensus 53.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Miami Dolphins | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
| FanDuel | +102 | -120 |
| Novig | +102 | -117 |
| Caesars | +111 | -130 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Colts −1.5
priced 49.8% to cover · 2 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 43.5
priced 50.0% over · 1 book, 2 on another number
| Spread by book | Dolphins | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -112 | −1.5 -108 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 42.5 -114 | 42.5 -106 |
| Caesars | 43 -110 | 43 -110 |
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