Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

All San Francisco 49ers predictions · All Dallas Cowboys predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 4:25 PM

The model's call
San Francisco 49ers to win
Model confidence 63.9%
Books consensus 63.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book San Francisco 49ersDallas Cowboys
DraftKings -198 +164
FanDuel -210 +176
Novig -212 +153
Caesars -200 +169

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
49ers −3.5
priced 50.1% to cover · 2 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 54.5
priced 51.1% over · 2 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book 49ersCowboys
DraftKings −3.5 -110 +3.5 -110
FanDuel −4.5 -104 +4.5 -118
Caesars −3.5 -110 +3.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
FanDuel 54.5 -115 54.5 -105
Caesars 54.5 -115 54.5 -105
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