Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

All Pittsburgh Steelers predictions · All Cincinnati Bengals predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 8:20 PM

The model's call
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Model confidence 60.9%
Books consensus 60.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Pittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Bengals
DraftKings +150 -180
FanDuel +142 -168
Novig +125 -167
Caesars +150 -179

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bengals −3.5
priced 47.6% to cover · 3 books
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books
Spread by book SteelersBengals
DraftKings +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
FanDuel +3.5 -122 −3.5 +100
Caesars +3.5 -121 −3.5 +101
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -115 47.5 -105
Caesars 47.5 -109 47.5 -110
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