Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
All Arizona Cardinals predictions · All Kansas City Chiefs predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Model confidence 87.3%
Books consensus 87.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Arizona Cardinals | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +650 | -1115 |
| DraftKings | +650 | -1000 |
| FanDuel | +750 | -1200 |
| Novig | +770 | -1011 |
| Caesars | +650 | -1000 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Chiefs −14
priced 50.0% to cover · 2 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 42
priced 50.1% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
opened 41.5
| Spread by book | Cardinals | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +14 -110 | −14 -110 |
| DraftKings | +14 -110 | −14 -110 |
| FanDuel | +14.5 -115 | −14.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 42 -110 | 42 -110 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 42 -110 | 42 -109 |
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