Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
All Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions · All Detroit Lions predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Detroit Lions to win
Model confidence 61.4%
Books consensus 61.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +148 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 |
| FanDuel | +144 | -172 |
| Novig | +144 | -170 |
| Caesars | +149 | -176 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Lions −3.5
priced 49.0% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 4 books
| Spread by book | Buccaneers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +3.5 -109 | −3.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 +100 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -114 | −3.5 -106 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
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