Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers

All New York Jets predictions · All Los Angeles Chargers predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:05 PM

The model's call
Los Angeles Chargers to win
Model confidence 53.3%
Books consensus 53.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New York JetsLos Angeles Chargers
BetRivers +100 -122
DraftKings +105 -125
FanDuel +108 -126
Novig +106 -125
Caesars +106 -124

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Chargers −1.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 50.4% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book JetsChargers
BetRivers +1.5 -112 −1.5 -109
DraftKings +1.5 -110 −1.5 -110
FanDuel +1.5 -110 −1.5 -110
Caesars +1.5 -110 −1.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 42.5 -114 42.5 -107
DraftKings 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
FanDuel 43.5 -105 43.5 -115
Caesars 43 -110 43 -110
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