Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos
All Las Vegas Raiders predictions · All Denver Broncos predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:25 PM
The model's call
Denver Broncos to win
Model confidence 77.8%
Books consensus 77.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Las Vegas Raiders | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +295 | -385 |
| DraftKings | +340 | -440 |
| FanDuel | +310 | -390 |
| Novig | +335 | -426 |
| Caesars | +330 | -440 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Broncos −8.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 2 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 41.5
priced 50.0% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
| Spread by book | Raiders | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +8 -112 | −8 -109 |
| DraftKings | +8.5 -110 | −8.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +7.5 -110 | −7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +8.5 -109 | −8.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 40.5 -113 | 40.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 |
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