Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
MLB · Thursday, July 9, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 3-1
The model's call
San Diego Padres to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Result Arizona Diamondbacks won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +112 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +110 | -132 |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -125 |
| Caesars | +105 | -125 |
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