Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
All Texas Rangers predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · 10:11 PM · Final: 2-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -132 | +116 |
| DraftKings | -127 | +119 |
| ESPN BET | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -128 | +118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +120 |
| Caesars | -121 | +110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rangers | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +124 | +1.5 -149 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -140 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -118 | 8.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -118 | 8.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -116 | 8.5 -104 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 9 -102 | 9 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 9 +100 | 9 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 54.8% | 45.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Markets average | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.