Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All Miami Marlins predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 25, 2026 · 6:42 PM · Final: 7-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -150 | +133 |
| DraftKings | -140 | +131 |
| ESPN BET | -142 | +126 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +130 |
| Caesars | -147 | +137 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 58.3% | 42.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.