Boston Red Sox predictions
Every Boston Red Sox game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Boston Red Sox game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Boston Red Sox
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Boston Red Sox game we called | 78 | 47 | 60.3% |
| Games where the model made Boston Red Sox the favorite | 58 | 38 | 65.5% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Boston Red Sox correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Boston Red Sox calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 55.8% | 2-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-29 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 54.7% | 0-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-27 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 52.2% | 6-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 52.2% | 0-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 53.1% | 3-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 54.3% | 1-0 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-23 | Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 56.3% | 0-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 53.2% | 3-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-20 | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 57.5% | 1-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 57.5% | 1-2 | ✓ |