Boston Red Sox predictions
Every Boston Red Sox game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
2026-09-12 · 4:11 PM · Boston Red Sox at home · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on Boston Red Sox
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Boston Red Sox game we called | 61 | 37 | 60.7% |
| Games where the model made Boston Red Sox the favorite | 50 | 34 | 68.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Boston Red Sox correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Boston Red Sox calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 65.8% | 6-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-08 | Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 57.3% | 6-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 61.6% | 2-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles | Boston Red Sox | 55.0% | 3-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles | Boston Red Sox | 53.9% | 5-0 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles | Boston Red Sox | 51.5% | 1-0 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-03 | Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles | Boston Red Sox | 52.8% | 6-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 57.4% | 8-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 52.2% | 9-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-08-31 | Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 59.5% | 8-9 | ✓ |