Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions · All San Diego Padres predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 26, 2026 · 4:11 PM · Final: 0-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -140 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -139 |
| DraftKings | +126 | -135 |
| ESPN BET | +121 | -136 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -130 |
| Caesars | +125 | -135 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 44.2% | 56.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Markets average | 43.7% | 56.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.