Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Pittsburgh Pirates predictions

Every Pittsburgh Pirates game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

Next game

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs

2026-09-12 · 2:21 PM · Pittsburgh Pirates on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Pittsburgh Pirates

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Pittsburgh Pirates game we called 5829 50.0%
Games where the model made Pittsburgh Pirates the favorite 3015 50.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Pittsburgh Pirates correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Pittsburgh Pirates calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-11 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 63.1% 2-12
2026-09-10 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 51.1% 2-0
2026-09-09 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 54.7% 4-2
2026-09-08 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 56.5% 9-3
2026-09-06 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 61.7% 0-1
2026-09-05 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 62.5% 6-1
2026-09-04 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 63.8% 0-1
2026-09-03 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 60.3% 2-5
2026-09-02 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 58.3% 5-4
2026-09-01 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 60.7% 12-13

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