Pittsburgh Pirates predictions
Every Pittsburgh Pirates game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Pittsburgh Pirates game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Pittsburgh Pirates
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Pittsburgh Pirates game we called | 72 | 39 | 54.2% |
| Games where the model made Pittsburgh Pirates the favorite | 36 | 20 | 55.6% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Pittsburgh Pirates correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Pittsburgh Pirates calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 51.5% | 4-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 52.1% | 3-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 52.0% | 7-8 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59.5% | 1-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55.3% | 5-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60.7% | 0-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52.2% | 3-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51.6% | 5-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 62.9% | 5-8 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | 55.4% | 4-7 | ✗ |