Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All Miami Marlins predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 26, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 0-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -129 | +114 |
| DraftKings | -129 | +120 |
| ESPN BET | -131 | +116 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -130 | +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +120 |
| Caesars | -132 | +122 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 56.3% | 45.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Markets average | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.