Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions · All St. Louis Cardinals predictions
MLB · Friday, August 28, 2026 · 8:16 PM · Final: 1-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Pittsburgh Pirates | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -118 | -102 |
| BetRivers | -112 | -103 |
| DraftKings | -111 | +103 |
| ESPN BET | -115 | +102 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -112 | +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | +105 |
| Caesars | -115 | +105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pirates | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -195 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +144 | +1.5 -175 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -180 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -165 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +143 | +1.5 -170 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 +102 | 7.5 -122 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -114 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -102 | 7.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Pittsburgh Pirates | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 52.6% | 48.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Markets average | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.