Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
All Philadelphia Phillies predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 10:08 PM · Final: 4-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -235 | +190 |
| BetRivers | -235 | +205 |
| DraftKings | -223 | +206 |
| ESPN BET | -240 | +208 |
| Fanatics | -235 | +190 |
| FanDuel | -230 | +210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -220 | +210 |
| Caesars | -219 | +199 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Phillies | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -145 | +1.5 +118 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -141 | +1.5 +117 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -145 | +1.5 +120 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -145 | +1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −2.5 +115 | +2.5 -125 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -155 | +1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -102 | 8.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -104 | 8.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -107 | 8.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 68.7% | 32.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Markets average | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.