Philadelphia Phillies predictions
Every Philadelphia Phillies game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Philadelphia Phillies game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Philadelphia Phillies
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Philadelphia Phillies game we called | 77 | 53 | 68.8% |
| Games where the model made Philadelphia Phillies the favorite | 58 | 37 | 63.8% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Philadelphia Phillies correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Philadelphia Phillies calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 51.0% | 2-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-30 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | 51.5% | 4-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-29 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 62.4% | 3-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 64.0% | 3-7 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-26 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 52.3% | 12-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 61.5% | 2-0 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 54.7% | 5-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-23 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers | 53.2% | 4-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 58.1% | 4-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies | 59.1% | 7-2 | ✓ |