Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
MLB · Saturday, July 11, 2026 · 7:06 PM · Final: 9-3
The model's call
Texas Rangers to win
Model confidence 52.2%
Books consensus 52.2%
Result Houston Astros won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | -107 | -117 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -123 |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -120 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | +100 | -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
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