Houston Astros predictions
Every Houston Astros game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Houston Astros game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Houston Astros
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Houston Astros game we called | 74 | 39 | 52.7% |
| Games where the model made Houston Astros the favorite | 43 | 23 | 53.5% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Houston Astros correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Houston Astros calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 58.1% | 7-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 52.3% | 6-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 63.6% | 9-0 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-26 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 60.2% | 13-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 63.5% | 5-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 61.6% | 7-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 54.2% | 5-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 55.1% | 7-0 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 58.5% | 4-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 55.1% | 6-3 | ✗ |