Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Houston Astros predictions

Every Houston Astros game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

Next game

Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-12 · 6:11 PM · Houston Astros on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Houston Astros

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Houston Astros game we called 5729 50.9%
Games where the model made Houston Astros the favorite 3218 56.2%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Houston Astros correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Houston Astros calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-10 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 63.1% 2-1
2026-09-09 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 58.3% 7-11
2026-09-08 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 55.4% 6-5
2026-09-06 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Houston Astros 51.5% 3-2
2026-09-05 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Arizona Diamondbacks 51.0% 4-3
2026-09-04 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Houston Astros 54.3% 1-3
2026-09-03 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Houston Astros 59.6% 2-6
2026-09-02 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Houston Astros 56.3% 0-2
2026-09-01 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Chicago White Sox 51.1% 5-1
2026-08-31 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Houston Astros 55.0% 3-6

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