Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
All Philadelphia Phillies predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 30, 2026 · 4:08 PM · Final: 5-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -170 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +155 |
| DraftKings | -161 | +150 |
| ESPN BET | -169 | +149 |
| Fanatics | -170 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -160 | +148 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -165 | +155 |
| Caesars | -160 | +150 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Phillies | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -104 | +1.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -101 | +1.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +104 | +1.5 -125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -108 | 7.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -117 | 7.5 -103 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 61.5% | 39.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Markets average | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.