Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 5-9
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +123 |
| DraftKings | -147 | +122 |
| ESPN BET | -142 | +126 |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 |
| FanDuel | -148 | +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -150 | +125 |
| Caesars | -137 | +127 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -127 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +109 | +1.5 -131 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +106 | +1.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -118 | 9.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 10 -114 | 10 -125 |
| DraftKings | 10 -103 | 10 -117 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -125 | 9.5 +105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.8% | 44.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.