Washington Nationals predictions
Every Washington Nationals game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Washington Nationals game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Washington Nationals
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Washington Nationals game we called | 72 | 47 | 65.3% |
| Games where the model made Washington Nationals the favorite | 26 | 16 | 61.5% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Washington Nationals correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Washington Nationals calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | New York Mets | 50.8% | 4-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 50.0% | 7-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | New York Mets | 50.0% | 6-7 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-23 | Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 60.2% | 4-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 57.5% | 3-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-21 | Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 55.1% | 2-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 54.2% | 3-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 50.2% | 8-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-18 | Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Nationals | 50.5% | 9-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies | 63.1% | 3-0 | ✓ |