New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
All New York Yankees predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · 9:39 PM · Final: 7-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -190 | +154 |
| BetRivers | -190 | +163 |
| DraftKings | -193 | +158 |
| ESPN BET | -181 | +158 |
| Fanatics | -190 | +155 |
| FanDuel | -194 | +162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -195 | +160 |
| Caesars | -190 | +170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -114 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -108 | +1.5 -111 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 +102 | 7.5 -121 |
| DraftKings | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -102 | 7.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 64.4% | 37.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Markets average | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.