New York Yankees predictions
Every New York Yankees game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming New York Yankees game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on New York Yankees
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every New York Yankees game we called | 78 | 47 | 60.3% |
| Games where the model made New York Yankees the favorite | 57 | 36 | 63.2% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads New York Yankees correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent New York Yankees calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 60.9% | 4-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-05 | New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | 53.4% | 2-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-03 | New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 55.5% | 0-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-30 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 55.8% | 2-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-29 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 54.7% | 0-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 50.0% | 3-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 50.1% | 10-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 57.1% | 4-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 56.6% | 2-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 54.3% | 6-1 | ✗ |