Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies
All Baltimore Orioles predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · 8:41 PM · Final: 2-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Baltimore Orioles | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -152 | +133 |
| DraftKings | -156 | +129 |
| ESPN BET | -152 | +134 |
| Fanatics | -155 | +130 |
| FanDuel | -156 | +132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +130 |
| Caesars | -153 | +143 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Orioles | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -102 | +1.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -103 | +1.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -121 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -108 | +1.5 -111 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -120 | 11 +100 |
| BetRivers | 11 -114 | 11 -105 |
| DraftKings | 11 -121 | 11 +100 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 11 -122 | 11 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 11 -125 | 11 +105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Baltimore Orioles | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 60.3% | 41.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.