Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Baltimore Orioles predictions

Every Baltimore Orioles game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

No upcoming Baltimore Orioles game on the board right now — today's slate has what is live.

How the model has done on Baltimore Orioles

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Baltimore Orioles game we called 7242 58.3%
Games where the model made Baltimore Orioles the favorite 2818 64.3%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Baltimore Orioles correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Baltimore Orioles calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-25 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees New York Yankees 50.0% 3-6 ✓
2026-09-25 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees New York Yankees 50.1% 10-2 ✗
2026-09-23 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 52.5% 2-4 ✓
2026-09-23 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 53.3% 2-4 ✓
2026-09-21 Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 50.0% 3-4 ✓
2026-09-20 Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Milwaukee Brewers 65.2% 3-0 ✓
2026-09-19 Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 50.0% 1-0 ✗
2026-09-18 Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Milwaukee Brewers 57.2% 6-5 ✓
2026-09-16 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets New York Mets 51.8% 7-1 ✗
2026-09-15 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets New York Mets 54.6% 7-5 ✗

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