Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies
All Baltimore Orioles predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 2, 2026 · 3:11 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Baltimore Orioles | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -180 | +160 |
| DraftKings | -186 | +153 |
| ESPN BET | -177 | +155 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -174 | +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -180 | +150 |
| Caesars | -182 | +167 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Orioles | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -119 | +1.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | 11.5 -103 | 11.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 +105 | 11.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 11.5 +100 | 11.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 11.5 -105 | 11.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 -105 | 11.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 11.5 -105 | 11.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Baltimore Orioles | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.5% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Markets average | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.