Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 2, 2026 · 1:05 PM · Final: 9-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +118 |
| BetRivers | -141 | +118 |
| DraftKings | -142 | +118 |
| ESPN BET | -139 | +123 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -136 | +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +120 |
| Caesars | -135 | +125 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -136 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +119 | +1.5 -144 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +112 | +1.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -135 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +122 | +1.5 -145 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -106 | 9.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -114 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.4% | 44.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Markets average | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.