Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All Houston Astros predictions
MLB · Thursday, September 3, 2026 · 2:11 PM · Final: 2-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 |
| BetRivers | +135 | -165 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -157 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -159 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +138 | -164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -165 |
| Caesars | +147 | -157 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +132 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -103 | 8.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -109 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -108 | 8.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.5% | 61.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Markets average | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.