Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
All Washington Nationals predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Friday, September 4, 2026 · 10:11 PM · Final: 3-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +220 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +224 | -280 |
| ESPN BET | +229 | -265 |
| Fanatics | +225 | -280 |
| FanDuel | +220 | -270 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +230 | -300 |
| Caesars | +235 | -270 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Nationals | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -130 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -106 | −1.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +103 | −1.5 -124 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| BetRivers | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| DraftKings | 8 -111 | 8 -109 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| FanDuel | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 29.9% | 72.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Markets average | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.