Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Texas Rangers predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 6-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -109 | -110 |
| DraftKings | -107 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -108 | -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | -110 |
| Caesars | -105 | -105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -210 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +154 | +1.5 -188 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -215 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +152 | +1.5 -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -190 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +158 | +1.5 -190 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -121 | 6.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 7 +104 | 7 -126 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -124 | 6.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7 +110 | 7 -130 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Markets average | 48.7% | 51.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.