Tampa Bay Rays predictions
Every Tampa Bay Rays game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-09-12 · 6:11 PM · Tampa Bay Rays at home · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on Tampa Bay Rays
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Tampa Bay Rays game we called | 61 | 33 | 54.1% |
| Games where the model made Tampa Bay Rays the favorite | 41 | 24 | 58.5% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Tampa Bay Rays correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Tampa Bay Rays calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 53.2% | 1-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 53.2% | 7-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-08 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 51.4% | 7-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays | 52.2% | 6-8 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-05 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 50.0% | 6-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-04 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 51.7% | 7-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays | 53.7% | 0-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-02 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 62.6% | 10-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-01 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 55.4% | 2-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 63.3% | 3-2 | ✗ |