Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
All Washington Nationals predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 9:11 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +154 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +170 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +157 | -191 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -177 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +160 | -190 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +158 | -173 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Nationals | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +129 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +122 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -102 | 7 -118 |
| BetRivers | 7 -117 | 7 -103 |
| DraftKings | 7 -105 | 7 -114 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 7 -105 | 7 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7 -105 | 7 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +115 |
| Caesars | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 37.0% | 63.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.