Miami Marlins at Athletics
MLB · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 7-2
The model's call
Miami Marlins to win
Model confidence 56.2%
Books consensus 56.2%
Result Miami Marlins won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Marlins | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +118 |
| BetRivers | -139 | +112 |
| DraftKings | -143 | +119 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +120 |
| Caesars | -140 | +118 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.