Athletics predictions
Every Athletics game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Athletics game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Athletics
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Athletics game we called | 74 | 51 | 68.9% |
| Games where the model made Athletics the favorite | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Athletics correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Athletics calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 63.6% | 9-0 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-26 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 60.2% | 13-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 63.5% | 5-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Houston Astros | 61.6% | 7-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics | Los Angeles Angels | 55.2% | 3-7 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics | Athletics | 50.0% | 7-9 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 69.1% | 0-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 62.4% | 6-12 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 67.4% | 3-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 70.1% | 1-10 | ✓ |