Los Angeles Angels at Pittsburgh Pirates
All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 1:37 PM · Final: 0-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Angels | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +148 | -179 |
| ESPN BET | +158 | -181 |
| Fanatics | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +152 | -180 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -185 |
| Caesars | +155 | -170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Angels | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +128 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +126 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
| BetRivers | 7 -120 | 7 -121 |
| DraftKings | 7 -117 | 7 -103 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7 -120 | 7 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Angels | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.8% | 63.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.