Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
All Detroit Tigers predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 1:40 PM · Final: 2-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Detroit Tigers | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +143 | -173 |
| ESPN BET | +149 | -169 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +140 | -166 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -170 |
| Caesars | +150 | -160 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Tigers | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +130 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -102 | 7 -118 |
| BetRivers | 7 -115 | 7 -124 |
| DraftKings | 7 -102 | 7 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | 7 -105 | 7 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7 -102 | 7 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Detroit Tigers | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.0% | 61.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Markets average | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.