Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cleveland Guardians predictions

Every Cleveland Guardians game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

No upcoming Cleveland Guardians game on the board right now — today's slate has what is live.

How the model has done on Cleveland Guardians

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Cleveland Guardians game we called 5829 50.0%
Games where the model made Cleveland Guardians the favorite 4220 47.6%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Cleveland Guardians correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Cleveland Guardians calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-09 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Cleveland Guardians 52.2% 5-9
2026-09-08 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 52.4% 9-5
2026-09-07 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 55.7% 4-6
2026-09-06 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 60.4% 2-3
2026-09-05 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 59.3% 6-0
2026-09-04 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 57.4% 3-4
2026-09-04 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53.5% 6-7
2026-09-03 Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 50.0% 6-3
2026-09-02 Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians Toronto Blue Jays 54.6% 11-0
2026-09-01 Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 61.8% 1-6

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