Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cleveland Guardians predictions

Every Cleveland Guardians game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

No upcoming Cleveland Guardians game on the board right now — today's slate has what is live.

How the model has done on Cleveland Guardians

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Cleveland Guardians game we called 8446 54.8%
Games where the model made Cleveland Guardians the favorite 5731 54.4%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Cleveland Guardians correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Cleveland Guardians calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-19 Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 58.3% 3-7 ✓
2026-10-18 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays 54.0% 3-1 ✓
2026-10-17 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays 50.9% 7-3 ✓
2026-10-15 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 54.3% 2-3 ✓
2026-10-13 Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 55.2% 1-3 ✓
2026-10-12 Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 60.2% 7-3 ✗
2026-10-10 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 56.5% 0-2 ✓
2026-10-08 Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians 51.6% 9-5 ✓
2026-10-07 Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 54.3% 9-3 ✗
2026-10-05 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 58.3% 4-3 ✗

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