Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Monday, September 7, 2026 · 1:06 PM · Final: 0-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +158 | -193 |
| ESPN BET | +162 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +160 | -190 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -195 |
| Caesars | +170 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +1 +104 | −1 -125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -136 | −1.5 +113 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -132 | −1.5 +110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +115 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -130 | −1.5 +110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -102 | 8 -118 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -117 | 7.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 8 -103 | 8 -117 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
| FanDuel | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 37.0% | 63.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.