Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Monday, September 7, 2026 · 9:11 PM · Final: 3-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +154 | -188 |
| ESPN BET | +149 | -169 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +144 | -172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -180 |
| Caesars | +154 | -164 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +118 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -134 | −1.5 +110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +118 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +122 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -102 | 8.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -106 | 8.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.5% | 62.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.